Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 185.666394 220.343882 262.674720 319.158583 394.159867 4.927926e+02 636.769054
2025-02-09 138.761711 178.156248 232.243471 315.295532 446.499130 6.601068e+02 1072.304579
2025-02-16 116.657448 157.432727 217.888773 320.273378 504.680677 8.635146e+02 1770.026365
2025-02-23 101.567514 142.123673 205.788688 322.147915 555.743274 1.089627e+03 2874.627349
2025-03-02 91.240210 131.556020 197.962385 327.700718 615.568843 1.388406e+03 4974.876007
2025-03-09 83.115966 122.868574 191.064650 332.290949 675.768585 1.757992e+03 9189.192324
2025-03-16 74.810789 112.534517 179.137509 323.021684 698.108262 2.044309e+03 15679.760838
2025-03-23 71.215654 109.645112 180.179575 341.755304 807.444047 2.859029e+03 50225.877374
2025-03-30 64.681534 100.711341 168.108719 327.093271 809.872935 3.197351e+03 110907.958526
2025-04-06 60.806544 96.108790 163.852443 330.201201 874.026028 4.080080e+03 827142.887822
2025-04-13 57.020553 91.233102 158.277294 328.540247 921.946061 5.052352e+03 NaN
2025-04-20 55.404207 90.232393 160.611680 348.570884 1072.395811 7.806714e+03 NaN
2025-04-27 55.138081 92.141849 170.379397 395.970078 1417.798231 1.848323e+04 NaN
2025-05-04 51.458596 86.918711 163.333951 391.103888 1502.711159 2.753220e+04 NaN
2025-05-11 48.865401 83.596009 160.166936 397.840965 1673.501101 5.241235e+04 NaN
2025-05-18 46.342994 80.138509 156.110951 400.379449 1829.874346 1.088346e+05 NaN
2025-05-25 44.311165 77.493979 153.636916 407.909637 2048.317749 3.476817e+05 NaN
2025-06-01 42.414115 74.941570 150.999822 414.146681 2282.176390 2.573265e+06 NaN
2025-06-08 39.950688 70.941016 144.073287 401.563298 2321.230076 2.503536e+07 NaN
2025-06-15 39.120898 70.440405 146.283775 427.041087 2852.498682 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 36.777942 66.374610 138.355465 407.085085 2789.942113 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 35.430451 64.444979 136.053134 411.305840 3088.003270 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 33.984723 62.178394 132.533066 409.049536 3302.625534 NaN NaN